Log In; Become a Member Gubernatorial Approval Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan continues to have the approval of a majority of New Hampshire residents. The one that Democrats want: Maggie Hassan National Democrats have been working hard to recruit Gov. In October, the last time that PPP surveyed voters about Ayotte, she had a 48-35 approval rating. However, if Republicans are able to recruit Governor Chris Sununu, who just won by 30%, this could be a highly competitive race. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 54% of Granite Staters say they approve of the job Hassan is doing as governor, 30% disapprove, and 15% are neutral or … Congressman Brian Fitzpatrick would be a good recruit for Republicans. One of two things I wish to produce before my semi-hiatus is my 2022 Senate Ratings. The youngest person currently serving in the United States Senate was previously the attorney general of Missouri, defeating incumbent Claire McCaskill in a 2018 election. Log In; Become a Member That sounds like a narrow margin, but Floridians are a stubborn people, not many can be convinced to vote a different party. Biden quietly did pretty well in Alaska for a Democrat, and Lisa Murkowski, one of the few pro-choice Republicans in Congress, has never gotten a majority of the vote in a Senate race. Pennsylvania was just as competitive down ballot as it was on the Presidential level in 2020, so unless the political environment overwhelmingly favors one party, expect this race to be a nail-biter. Expect those to drop in early December. A “grand slam” recruit for Republicans would be former governor Brian Sandoval, an extremely popular, moderate, Hispanic, easygoing guy who won re-election in 2014 by 46 points. Hassan had an approval rating of 57% and a disapproval rating of 38%, while her opponent Havenstein had an approval rating of 46% and a disapproval rating of 33%. Biden improved on Hillary Clinton by 10 points in Utah. Edit Close 0. Blunt hasn’t improved his approval ratings much since that election. If the same state had a Republican senator with the same approval rating, the PARS would be -5 (2-7= -5). About Senator Maggie Hassan. Democrat’s best chances are in … Colorado voted for Joe Biden by over a dozen points. RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - New Hampshire Senate - Ayotte vs. Hassan > Support in 2018 midterm election: 51.0% of the vote 0. ... Rubio’s approval rating, 46 percent positive to 41 percent negative, ticked up 1 point. It would be an epic battle not just between two of the state’s political heavyweights, but also a battle that will decide what New Hampshire really is. 0. The days of these two states being razor-close on Election Night are over. New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years. North Carolina – Trump+1 – Richard Burr(R)+6. Gov. Wow. 26. Split-ticket voting has only increased since then, and it probably benefits Republicans, especially considering Van Hollen isn’t one of the more exciting Senators in the Democratic caucus. Her father as a U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development during the Johnson administration and both parents were politically active. - Approval rating: 50% - Never heard of: 17% - Disapproval rating: 33% - State: New Hampshire - Party: Democrat. Cory Gardner narrowly defeated the Democratic incumbent in 2014 to become senator there, and today is the only Republican serving Colorado in a statewide elected office. She’s liberal, but not usually progressive. With both members of the House up for reelection, 48 percent of 1st … Hassan’s approval rating has fallen from 50 percent in October to 43 percent in November, a drop found mainly among Democratic-leaning voters. RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - New Hampshire Senate - Ayotte vs. Hassan Grassley is 87 years old, so he may opt to retire. 0. I’m doubtful Democrats can reach 2016 levels of Latino support against Marco Rubio, and older voters will swing back towards Republicans in the mid-term elections after shifting a bit towards Biden. Hassan’s approval rating has fallen from 50 percent in October to 43 percent in November, a drop found mainly among Democratic-leaning voters. Take Ohio, a former swing state. Now, both Ryan and Walker are out of office, and Ron Johnson himself made a pledge that this would be his last term, but has since given indication that he may go back on that pledge. In Colorado, Michael Bennet performs well with college-educated white voters, and the major Republican politicians in Colorado are mostly right-wing ideologues who won’t be able to make major gains among those voters. The problem is that most of the Republican-held seats are in states that lean red or are becoming redder. In Pennsylvania, Republican incumbent Pat Toomey has decided to retire. Georgia – Biden+>1 – David Perdue(R)+2/Raphael Warnock(D)+7. For Democrats, the good news is that Republicans have to defend four Senate seats in states Biden won, while no Democrat will have to face re-election in a Trump state. 0. The backlash to her decision has been swift and severe. Born in Boston in 1958, she has long been involved in government. Maggie Hassan. That represents a 15 percent net drop from PPP’s previous poll in October. 10/7/14 -- Havenstein is catching up, but Hassan is at 50 percent. Gubernatorial Approval Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan continues to have the approval of a majority of New Hampshire adults. I’d rate Maryland Lean Democratic if he runs, and Safe Democratic if he doesn’t. Funny. In 2018, the best year for Democrats this decade, Florida still voted Republican. POLL NUMBERS — Hassan has 54 percent approval rating in poll: New Hampshire Gov. > Least popular House member: Democratic Rep. Andrew Kim, 3rd District Montana RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - New Hampshire Senate - Ayotte vs. Hassan Down the ballot, in the 2016 Senate race, then-Gov. Portman probably will only lose if there is a blue wave in 2022. Edit Close. Nevada – Biden+2 – Catherine Cortez Masto(D)+3. Joe Biden seriously outperformed expectations in New England, and particularly in New Hampshire. > Less popular senator: Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen Maggie Hassan Sep 22, 2016 Sep 22, 2016 Updated Sep 22 ... Net Approval Rating: 14% Approval Rating: 52% Disapproval Rating: 38%. His shadow will loom large in the race. The consensus on both sides is that the era where Democrats can compete in Missouri has likely passed. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 53% of New Hampshire adults say they approve of the job Hassan is doing as governor, 29% disapprove, and 8% are neutral or don’t know enough to say. 24/7 Wall St. reviewed approval ratings for U.S. senators and 2018 election results for House members in order to identify the least popular members of Congress. > Total congressional districts in the state: 4, 29. Johnson ramped up his campaign with people like Paul Ryan and Scott Walker in a way Democrat Russ Feingold was incapable of responding to. > Less popular senator: Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan > Q4 2019 approval rating: 51.0% > Least popular House member: Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas, 1st District Approval ratings are a useful indicator of whether a candidate could over or under perform the political leanings of their state. No credit card required. Her approval rating, 51-33, hasn’t changed much since we polled in April: +19 then, +18 now. Maggie Hassan. > Less popular senator: Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan > Q4 2019 approval rating: 51.0% > Least popular House member: Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas, 1st District New Hampshire and Vermont are the only states in the country whose governors are elected every two years. Maggie Hassan to challenge freshman Republican Sen. Kelly Ayotte in … View Comments Love. 84% of Democrats, 17% of Republicans and 50% of … Gov. Sen. Maggie Hassan's rating is 51 percent approval and 39 percent disapproval. I predict Republicans are at least favored in 49 seats, while Democrats are favored in 47. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) lost the county by 199 votes, or about 1.5 percentage points, in her successful challenge to then-Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R-NH). Maryland: Larry Hogan (R) 71 percent A peculiarity in New Hampshire was that Democrats comfortably won every race for federal office in the state, but Republicans held the governorship and flipped the Executive Council and both houses of the State Legislature. Log In; Become a Member https://www.insidesources.com/sununu-poll-governor-hassan-senate The Arizona Republican party is becoming increasingly right-wing, nominating the most conservative candidate that may not have wide appeal among swing voters. Hogan, a moderate Trump-critic is one of the nation’s most popular governors. In Hassan’s case, New Hampshire has shifted 1.5% more towards Republicans since 2016. New Hampshire – Biden+7 – Maggie Hassan(D)+<1 Joe Biden seriously outperformed expectations in New England, and particularly in New Hampshire. Democrats would need a particularly outstanding candidate to come out of the woodwork to flip Iowa. The 11-point surge in disapproval threatens Ayotte's 2016 reelection, when she could face popular Democratic Gov. According to a Public Policy Polling poll released Wednesday, the freshman senator’s approval rating has plunged to 44 percent, with 46 percent disapproving. Democrats haven’t won a Governor or Senate race in Iowa since 2008. An even worse scenario for Republicans would be if sex-scandal plagued former Governor Eric Greitens ends up the Republican candidate if Blunt retires or is defeated for re-nomination. Maggie Hassan; Men approve of job done by Sen. Kelly Ayotte: 53%-41%; Women narrowly disapprove of the job done by Sen. Kelly Ayotte: 46%-43% Voters have a 41%-29% approval for former Sen. Scott Brown, 30% are unsure; New England College will release its first 2016 NH Primary poll tomorrow, May 14. Trump won Ohio in 2016 and 2020 by 8 points. Ayotte's Approval Rating Down - Nashua, NH - New poll shows the senator's popularity plunge coincides with recent vote against background checks for gun purchases. from Pennsylvania State University in political science. Gov. Funny. Independent/third-party candidates routinely get double-digits. Josh Hawley (R-MO) 43% 27% 30%. This will be an open seat with no incumbent running, and, hopefully, the Democratic candidate won’t be involved in an adultery scandal. > Total congressional districts in the state: 3, 28. A new poll shows that Gov. A combination of a savvy Democratic candidate who can appeal to suburban Trump voters and a toxic political environment for Republicans could push this seat into play. Hassan has a +19 job approval rating […] 3. A Democratic senator with a net approval of +2 in an R+7 state has a PARS of +9 (2+7 = 9). Instead, every candidate runs on the same primary ballot, and the 4 candidates with the most votes advance to a general election with ranked-choice voting. Republicans touted that as a win given that Pritzker spent $58 million of his own money to push for its approval. The state has surprised before: People didn't think that Republicans would lose the governor's mansion in 2004, either. Incumbent Republican Rob Portman has built his own brand and has won significant cross-over support in both of his Senate elections. Like in almost every election since 2012, Democrats could try to make Ohio competitive, only to watch it swing Republican on Election Night. No credit card required. Colorado and Florida are former swing states. Maggie Hassan Sep 22, 2016 Sep 22, 2016 Updated Sep 30 ... Net Approval Rating: 14% Approval Rating: 52% Disapproval Rating: 38%. That governor, Chris Sununu, who won re-election in a landslide, has the intention of running for Senate against popular Senator Maggie Hassan. I want to set my expectations for this upcoming election cycle. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) lost the county by 199 votes, or about 1.5 percentage points, in her successful challenge to then-Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R-NH). You have permission to edit this article. Considering that Hassan is the incumbent, has a superior approval rating, and holds a strong lead in the polls, it is safe to say that she has this election locked down so long as she sticks to a sensible platform that appeals to the … The state has surprised before: People didn't think that Republicans would lose the governor's mansion in 2004, either. The only Democrat that flipped a Republican statewide office since then is Auditor Rob Sand. Raleigh, N.C. – Maggie Hassan’s high job approval rating and significant double-digit leads over five possible Republican challengers indicate that the incumbent Democratic governor will start out ahead for re-election in 2014 if she decides to run, according to PPP’s first New Hampshire poll since the 2012 election. - Approval rating: 37% - Never heard of: 34% - Disapproval rating: 30% - State: Missouri - Party: Republican. If House Democrats pass legislation that Americans approve of, only to have that legislation blocked or filibustered by the GOP, negative sentiments could turn towards Senate Republicans. 85% of Democrats approve of the job of Gov. > Support in 2018 midterm election: 53.6% of the vote He won by less than 25,000 votes in each of Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, and Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district. On the surface, one might expect Democrats to make big gains in the Senate in 2022 because Republicans are defending more seats. He was one of the few non-incumbent Democrats to out-perform Biden in their jurisdiction. Incumbent Senator Maggie Hassan won by 0.1% in 2016, but she’s starting in a stronger position this cycle and has a solid approval rating. She’s not a poor campaigner, but not an exceptional one either. > Less popular senator: Republican Sen. Steve Daines Is it a blue state like the Presidential and Congressional results suggest, or is it actually becoming more red, as the state results would indicate? If you want more Toss-Up Central, visit my home page. She lost by 7 points. Her thesis was The informal organizational culture's effects on women faculty in the College of Liberal Arts at the Pennsylvania State University. If those had gone to Trump, he would’ve had exactly 270 Electoral Votes. If he did, it still wouldn’t hurt Republican chances too severely. 0. Added together, Hassan’s Adjusted Margin of Victory is 4.7%. Governor Maggie Hassan led possible Republican challengers by double digits on our poll this weekend. Mike Lee is one of the Senate’s most conservative members and a Trump ally, so it wouldn’t be too surprising if he faces some adversity in his re-election campaign. Except for special elections and candidacy declarations, there won’t be much going on that will impact elections. > Support in 2018 midterm election: 50.0% of the vote She ranks favorable in Senate approval ratings where she holds 21 st place and maintains a 50% net approval rating. Edit Close. Many national Republicans are hoping the governor will challenge Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan – Sununu’s predecessor as governor – when she’s up for reelection in 2022. You have permission to edit this article. Senators Jeanne Shaheen and Maggie Hassan are at 57% and 53% respectively. Catherine Cortez Masto, the incumbent Democrat, might fit the description of “generic Democrat” the best. Log In; Become a Member > Q4 2019 approval rating: 41.0% Nevada You have permission to edit this article. Down the ballot, in the 2016 Senate race, then-Gov. She attended Nashua High School and received a B.A. The nominations are wide open for both parties, but Democrats appear to have the stronger bench of candidates, such as congresspeople Conor Lamb or Chrissy Houlahan, Governor Tom Wolf, Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman, or Attorney General Josh Shapiro. Florida voted for Trump by 3 and a half points. She is fighting off a challenge from Democratic Gov. Even if Hogan were to fall short, he’d force Democrats to push hard to hold a seat in a state that’s basically a Republican desert, which would be a victory. The Democratic nominee, former State Senate Majority Leader Maggie Hassan, defeated the Republican nominee, attorney and 1996 gubernatorial nominee Ovide M. Lamontagne, 55% to 43%. - Approval rating: 35% - Never heard of: 30% - Disapproval rating: 35% - State: Colorado - Party: Republican. I’ll post for the elections that do happen, such as the Georgia runoffs. A lot depends on the political environment, will Wisconsinites view Ron Johnson as a self-serving career politician past his prime, or an important line of defense against the Democratic party’s more radical policies? Depending on how moderate or progressive of a Senator Mark Kelly ends up being, he starts the cycle uphill in his battle for re-election. > Q4 2019 approval rating: 47.0% Utah: Gary Herbert (R) 64 percent: 9. If the four Toss-Ups on the map were evenly split between the parties, Republicans would escape with the narrowest possible margin, 51-49. Enjoy more articles by logging in or creating a free account. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 53% of New Hampshire adults say they approve of the job Hassan is doing as governor, 29% disapprove, and 8% are neutral or don’t know enough to say. Utah and its heavily Mormon population usually votes red, but the state has demonstrated recently that it’s not afraid to go Democrat or third-party if the Republican is too right-wing and the Democrat/third party guy is moderate, civil, and Mormon. > Q4 2019 approval rating: 51.0% I understand if you are still recovering from the 2020 election, or if you just want a break from politics. > Less popular senator: Republican Sen. Deb Fischer Biden won, but not by very much. ... Maggie Hassan … Hassan has a +19 job approval rating […] Virginia: Terry McAuliffe (D) 58 percent: 10. In 2020, we saw a resurgence in split-ticket voting, and in the most crucial Senate races, it benefited Republicans. Maryland – 2020 Result: Biden+32 – Last Senate Result: Van Hollen(D)+25. Some might wonder why I have North Carolina in Toss-Up, even after endangered Republican Senator Thom Tillis won re-election in 2020. View Comments Love. Alaska’s a strange state, and Murkowski a strange politician, so I’ll put this race in Likely Republican despite the state’s solid red hue. He’s floated the idea of running for federal office before, and he won re-election in 2018 by a dozen points, impressive for a Republican in a blue, suburban state. > Total congressional districts in the state: 1, 27. As election season winds down, we enter a new chapter in politics. Scandal-tainted incumbent Senator Richard Burr is retiring. Nebraska 7-term Senator Chuck Grassley would have little trouble getting re-elected, unless 2022 becomes a blue wave year. RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - New Hampshire Senate - Ayotte vs. Hassan With Kamala Harris (or Nancy Pelosi if Biden is unable to serve) breaking ties, Democrats need a net gain of two Senate seats throughout 2021 and 2022 to gain control of the Senate. > Q4 2019 approval rating: 35.0% Funny. 0. But many of my fellow election nerds are also looking ahead. > Support in 2018 midterm election: 51.9% of the vote > Only House member: Republican Rep. Greg Gianforte, state at-large Sad. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) 51% 14% 35%. Nonetheless, expect a drop in the frequency of posts for the next half year starting next year. Alaska, in it’s isolation, is arguably the state with the largest third-party presence in America. Maggie Hassan's approval ratings are up.The WMUR Granite State Poll shows that Hassan's job approval rating is at 58 … Ayotte was born in Nashua, New Hampshire. This seat may be the last one Democrats can make interesting. Maryland is a safe blue state, and on the surface, incumbent Democrat Chris Van Hollen appears a lock for re-election. I will also post about congressional re-districting, which will happen in most states next year, and more posts reflecting on what we learned from the 2020 election. 0. You have permission to edit this article. > Total congressional districts in the state: 2, 30. “New Hampshire is a good bellwether for fallout from the gun vote,” Public Policy Polling president Dean Debnam said in a statement. She has now tumbled underwater, with 46 percent disapproving and 44 percent approving. New Jersey Governor Maggie Hassan led possible Republican challengers by double digits on our poll this weekend. View Comments Love. Gubernatorial Approval Democratic Governor Maggie Hassan continues to have the approval of a majority of New Hampshire residents. That said, even if Hogan runs, I’d still rather be Van Hollen, as Hogan would have to provide actual policy positions on divisive national issues, and I’m not sure even he would be able to defy Maryland’s blueness in a federal race. Edit Close. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 55% of Granite Staters say they approve of the job Hassan is doing as governor, 25% disapprove, and 20% are neutral or … Maggie Hassan (D) 56 percent: 8. Raleigh, N.C. – Maggie Hassan’s high job approval rating and significant double-digit leads over five possible Republican challengers indicate that the incumbent Democratic governor will start out ahead for re-election in 2014 if she decides to run, according to PPP’s first New Hampshire poll since the 2012 election. 84% of Democrats, 17% of Republicans and 50% of … New Hampshire He probably would’ve lost to spirited challenger Jason Kander had it not been for the Trump upset up ballot. The poll also finds that Maggie Hassan, New Hampshire’s Democratic governor, would now lead Ayotte 46 to 44 percent in a hypothetical 2016 Senate election. > Least popular House member: Republican Rep. Don Bacon, 2nd District Many national Republicans are hoping the governor will challenge Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan – Sununu’s predecessor as governor – when she’s up for reelection in 2022. However, Nevadans average lower income and lower academic achievement than Arizonans, as well as a pro-Trump swing among Latinos, have made Arizona and Nevada more even. That would be Governor Larry Hogan. Trump won North Carolina by less than a point, it’s definitely still a swing state. The good news for Republicans is that, unless the sitting President is particularly popular, the incumbent party, which is in this case the Democrats, typically loses congressional seats. > Less popular senator: Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan > Total congressional districts in the state: 12. Blue-leaning Nevada used to be much bluer than neighboring Arizona. A peculiarity in New Hampshire was that Democrats comfortably won every race for federal office in the state, but Republicans held the governorship and flipped the Executive Council and both houses of the State Legislature. In Nevada, a lot depends on what the national environment looks like for Democrats, and on who Republicans nominate against her. > Least popular House member: Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas, 1st District While most of the “Safe” races for either party are boring affairs that I won’t get into much, I do want to address Colorado and Florida. Joe Biden will be inaugurated on January 20th, 2021. You have permission to edit this article. Currently, 58% of New Hampshire adults say they have a favorable opinion of Hassan, 14% have an unfavorable opinion, 8% are neutral, and 20% say they don’t know enough about her to say. Wow. Former Senator Dean Heller could seek redemption. Hassan continues to enjoy high favorability ratings. 11/3/14 --The latest UNH poll shows a one-point Hassan lead. Hassan had an approval rating of 57% and a disapproval rating of 38%, while her opponent Havenstein had an approval rating of 46% and a disapproval rating of 33%. After serving on the New Hampshire State Senate and as governor, Maggie Hassan defeated the Republican incumbent to become a U.S. senator. The battle for the Senate in 2022 starts without one party holding a clear advantage, but both parties have reasons to hope that they might come to be heavier favorites. Democrats have a wide bench full of potential candidates, such as congressmen Mark Pocan or Ron Kind, that could do a better job than Feingold. It’s important to note that unlike most other Senators seeking re-election that last faced election in 2016, Mark Kelly won election in 2020, due to a special election caused by the death of John McCain. Complicating things further is the passing of a ballot measure in the state that abolishes primaries. New Hampshire – Biden+7 – Maggie Hassan(D)+<1. Edit Close. The Democratic nominee, former State Senate Majority Leader Maggie Hassan, defeated the Republican nominee, attorney and 1996 gubernatorial nominee Ovide M. Lamontagne, 55% to 43%. Her approval rating, 51-33, hasn’t changed much since we polled in April: +19 then, +18 now. Administration and both parents were politically active for re-election spirited challenger Jason had! Place and maintains a 50 % net approval of a majority of New Hampshire residents we polled in:. Beating Maggie Hassan 's rating is 51 percent approval rating [ … ] Gov 2+7 = 9.. Million of his own money to push for its approval the other resource i wish to produce before semi-hiatus. 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